Some skeptics view climate science as a house of cards. You pull one card from the bottom and the whole thing collapses. But science is more like a jigsaw puzzle, assembled piece by piece over decades of research. Gradually, the overall picture emerges, until it's unmistakable. Remaining gaps or even a few misplaced pieces don't change the overall picture.
Models are unreliable. I agree -- they are often late for photo shoots, and sometimes never show up at all!
If you want to find the truth, hire a detective (or scientist). If you just want to win, hire a lawyer (or PR firm).
"We're driving in a car with bad brakes in a fog and heaing for a cliff. We know for sure now that the cliff is out there, we just don't know exactly where it is. Prudence would suggest that we should start putting on the brakes."— John Holdren.
"People ask me if I believe in global warming. I tell them, 'No, I don't,' because belief is faith; faith is the evidence of things not seen. Science is evidence of things seen. To have an open mind, we have to use the brains that God gave us to look at the science."—Dr. Katharine Hayhoe.
"Science is so powerful that it drags us kicking and screaming towards the truth, despite our best efforts to avoid it."
Partial evidence can be very misleading. Remember the "blind men feeling an elephant" allegory? One feels a leg and says it's a tree. Another the trunk; i'ts a snake! Another pats the body and calls it a wall. The only way to figure out what's really going on is to look all the evidence together."Cherry pickers" deceive by getting you to focus on only one piece of evidence, ignoring the rest. Whether performed by magicians or lobbyists, the technique works until the audience catchs on.
"If ten people told you your house was on fire, you would call the fire department. You wouldn’t really care whether some of them thought that the place would be incinerated in an hour and some of them thought it would take a whole day."—Elizabeth Kolbert.
Question: "What is the single most important piece of evidence supporting global warming theory?" Answer: "What is the single strand that is most important in holding a rope together? Finding one single strand that can be cut to break the rope is very unlikely." — Dr. Richard Alley
"The evidence for climate change is not a house of cards, where you take one piece out and the whole theory falls apart. It's more like a mountain. Scrape a handful of pebbles off the top, but the mountain is still there."
"It may not be common sense, but if common sense were good enough, we wouldn't need science."
No doctor can tell us exactly how and when we'll die. But that doesn't invalidate the reality of mortality. We can be quite certain that we won't live forever.
"Science is not a democracy. It is a dictatorship. It is the evidence that does the dictating." - author John Reisman
'If you disagree with the science of human-caused climate change, then you are disagreeing with science itself,' — World Bank President Jim Yong Kim.
Yes, the models disagree. Their range of disagreement in their estimation of climate futures is between pretty awful and unspeakably horrible. None estimates a pleasant future.
“In science, 95 percent certainty is often considered the gold standard for certainty.” - Seth Borenstein Associate Press science writer
"Climate change has taken on political dimensions...That's odd because I don't see people choosing sides over E = mc2 or other fundamental facts of science." — Dr. Neil deGrasse Tyson, astrophysicist, Host of Cosmos: A Spacetime Odyssey.
“We can’t go anywhere if the Kennedy Space Center goes underwater and we don’t know it...It is absolutely critical that we understand Earth’s environment because this is the only place we have to live.” – NASA Administrator Charles Bolden.