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Basic Science Narrative: "Houston, We Have a Problem"
The classic scientific narrative for explaining climate goes like this
- There is now a broad scientific consensus on the following points, which were arrived over 70 years of research.
- Greenhouse gases in the atmosphere trap heat.
- The concentration of greenhouse gases, notably CO2, have been rising since the mid-1800s, when the industrial revolution began in earnest.
- In the 20th Century average temperature on earth increased. Much more warming is expected this century.
- The rise in temperature is due to the increase in CO2; all other possible explanations have been studied intensively and found to be inadequate to explain the phenomena.
- Human activity is the major source of the increased concentration of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere.
- Several lines of empirical research all point toward this.
- If we continue on this path, the earth will warm 5-7 degrees C by 2100, which will have many severe impacts such as
- more extreme weather
- drought and flooding, causing agricultural failures
- sea level rise and coastal inundation
- ocean acidification
- mass extinctions
- Some of warming is now inevitable, but prompt action can avert far more severe impacts.
- the longer we wait, the more severe the consequences
- Most proposed solutions include some combination of
- mitigation of greenhouse gas emisions
- rapid deployment of existing technologies for energy efficiency, renewable energy,
- development of new technologies, and
- adaptation to minimize the damage
- mitigation of greenhouse gas emisions
- Time is of the essence; urgent action is needed.
Examples of this narrative:
US Climate Change Science Program, "Climate Literacy: The Essential Principles of Climate Sciences"
National Science Foundation, "To What Degree? What Science is tellings us about climate change."


